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Harrisburg PA Mortgage Market Recap - Sept 12 2012

by Don Roth

This lead in could be filed under “dog bites man,” because it's something most of us already know.

We are referring to recent data from the National Association of Realtors that show the time to sell a home is shrinking. According to the NAR, the time to sell for traditional sellers is back within historic norms: the median time a home was listed fell to 69 days in July, down from 98 days a year earlier.

Of course, national numbers often hold little meaning to any particular local market. In fact, the NAR's data range harrisburg pa real estatefrom one-third of the homes were listed for less than a month, while one in five homes was listed for at least six months. The positive takeaway is that more homes in more markets are selling at a quicker pace. What's more, that pace appears to be accelerating.

The price of many homes listed for sale is also accelerating. Clear Capital reports that home prices are up 2.9% year over year in August. Clear Capital cites fewer REO properties coming to market due to new borrower-friendly legislation and the $25 billion lenders' settlement with the federal government.

That's really only part of the story, though, and gives short sales the short shrift, because many lenders are simply finding it more remunerative to engage in short sales than foreclosure and REO sales.

While we are on the subject of sales and prices, Trulia reports that national asking prices on for-sale homes, which precede actual sales prices by two or more months, increased 2.3% year over year in August. Gains were widespread, with 68 of the 100 largest metropolitan areas Trulia follows reporting price increases.

Trulia's data are particularly encouraging, because they are a leading indicator of future home sales (where we are going is much more important than where we've been). Therefore, we would be surprised if home-price gains and the housing recovery were not to persist into fall.

That said, lending could be the monkey wrench that grinds the recovery gears to a halt. Participation is the issue, and it is akin to the observation “water, water everywhere, but not a drop to drink.” Rates are low, but not enough borrowers are able to take advantage of them.

We've mentioned many times over the past year that the issue isn't low lending rates at this point: it's a dearth of borrower-buyers. If only the same people can access credit at these low rates, these low rates become meaningless. A less restrictive lending environment would do much more to accelerate the recovery than historic low rates.

Courtesy of Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

 

Harrisburg PA One Of Most Affordable Cities In US

by Don Roth

Home prices are strengthening and affordability of houses is slightly lower, according to new data from the second quarter of 2012. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index (HOI) found that 92 percent of metropolitan areas had a rise in median home prices over the first quarter of 2012.

Some homebuyers might not welcome this news, but for the home seller, it’s “another signal that the housing recovery is starting to take root,” said NAHB Chairman Barry Rutenberg, “and it lends needed confidence to prospective buyers and sellers who have been reluctant to move forward in the current marketplace.”

According to the report, 73.8 percent of all homes sold during this period were affordable to households earning the mean national income of $65,000.

Looking at the bottom of that list, major metropolitan areas with the least affordable homes, the number one city is no surprise: New York-White Plains-Wayne, N.Y.-N.J. (a distinction it’s held for 17 consecutive quarters), followed by the metro areas of San Francisco, Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, Conn., four other California areas as well as Honolulu and Miami.

Topping the list are Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, Ohio-PA.; Dayton, Ohio; Buffalo-Niagara Falls, NY; Indianapolis-Carmel, IN; Modesto, CA; Ogden-Clearfield, UT; Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA; Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL; Wilmington, DE metro area; and Columbia, SC.

Median housing price in Harrisburg-Carlisle PA is $147,000. The Housing Opportunity Index (HOI) in Pennsylvania’s capital city metro area is 90.6, meaning about nine in 10 homes on the market are affordable to households bringing in the median income of $73,500.

harrisburg pa

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

A Solution in Search of a Problem

by Don Roth

A Washington Post blogger, Ezra Klein, caused a minor stir in the blogoshere this past week with a novel, though hardily original, thought. Mr. Klein opined that it would be a good idea if the Federal Reserve announced it would buy huge numbers of mortgage-backed securities with the intent to bring the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage down to mortgage2.5%, and then hold the rate there for one year, “and one year only.” According to Mr. Klein, such a move on the Fed's part would incentive a home-buying spree.

Upon reading Mr. Klein's recommendation, we were immediately reminded of a speech RE/MAX CEO Margaret Kelly gave a couple months ago. In the speech, Ms Kelly basically said the best course of action at this point was to simply leave markets be.

There is always room for improvement, to be sure, but Mr. Klein's recommendation is simply larded with unintended consequences. It would pull future demand forward into the present. Sure, we'd all be super busy in 2013, but what about 2014? After the federal home buyers tax credit expired, sales dropped off a cliff. What's more, buyers would be buying into an artificially inflation market. After the surge ended, prices would fall, meaning anyone who bought during the surge would likely own an asset worth less if it were put on the market post-surge.

More than anything, we'd like to see a more accommodating regulatory environment. As for housing demand, that's coming along and doesn't need any additional stimulus. We think demand would come along even better in a lending environment that accommodated more buyers' needs.

Courtesy of Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

 

Harrisburg PA Mortgage Market Recap - Sept 5 2012

by Don Roth

There is an old investing bromide that goes “the trend is your friend,” which means a directional market can lead to riches.

The trend in home prices is surely our friend. Indeed, the S&P/Case-Shiller home price index points to a trend that is becoming friendlier by the month. Case-Shiller's data show that home prices gained 0.9 percent month over dollar housemonth for June, posting a fifth-consecutive monthly gain. Just as important, price increases were widespread, with 18 of the 20 metropolitan regions Case-Shiller follows moving higher.

Most of the media commentary on the Case-Shiller data were positive. Of course, there were the usual caveats on the negative impact shadow inventory and distressed properties could still have (lest anyone get too confident). But these caveats are falling on deafer ears, and for good reason: distressed properties are also posting price increases.

RealtyTrac reports the average price of a foreclosure sold in the second quarter of 2012 rose 7 percent compared to the year-ago quarter. Foreclosure-related sales accounted for 23 percent of all home sales in the quarter, up 19 percent from last year. At the same time, the number of foreclosures and REOs coming to market declined 22 percent year over year.

In short, we have rising foreclosure prices, greater buyer interest in foreclosures, and fewer foreclosures hitting the market. These are all positives. If this trend continues, the shadow inventory will have proven to be a case of whistling past the graveyard: a little disconcerting, but harmless nonetheless.

We see no reason for the price trend to end. Existing homes sales are gaining momentum. The pending home sales index rose 2.4 percent in July compared to June. Year over year, the index is up 12.4 percent.

For all the price and sales gains recorded this year, homes still remain a value. Rental prices have kept pace with home price gains. In fact, price-to-rent ratios are where they were back in the late 1990s. Relatively speaking, a home is still a bargain.

But the bargain won't last forever, and maybe not even through 2013. The NAR projects existing home sales will rise 8-to-9 percent this year, followed by another 7-to-8 percent rise in 2013.

Today's mortgage-rate bargains also won't last forever. Yes, rates dropped close to recent lows this past week, but the drop occurred early in the week. As the week progressed, mortgage rates progressed higher after estimates of second-quarter 2012 gross domestic product were raised by the Commerce Department. In addition, the Federal Reserve's Beige Book showed the economy continued to expand in July and part of August.

When the economy kicks into gear so will loan demand, as will the price of loans – interest rates.

Courtesy of Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

Harrisburg PA Mortgage Market Recap - August 28 2012

by Don Roth

Existing home sales gained traction in July, moving up 2.3 percent to 4.47 million units annualized, to partially reverse a 5.4-percent decline in June. The monthly existing home sales trend has been choppy for most of 2012, but going back to July 2011, the trend is mostly higher.

harrisburg pa real estatePrice concessions appeared to be occurring in more existing home markets (or perhaps fewer markets experienced sharper concessions) in July; the national median price for an existing home declined 0.8 percent to $187,300. When viewed from a longer-term perspective, though, the median price looks encouraging – up 9.4 percent year over year.

Supply is one frequently mentioned factor for the choppy sales trend. Supply relative to the current sales rate is at 6.4 months, down from 6.5 months in June and 9.3 months in July 2011. Inventory levels remain far below the peak set in 2004. That's good news for prices, but maybe not so good news for sustaining an upward sales trajectory.

New home sales, on the other hand, continually make gains. July sales increased 3.6 percent to an annualized rate of 372,000 units, which beat the consensus estimate by 2,000 units. If we go back to June 2011, the trend in new home sales has been mostly up, and mostly unbroken.

As with existing home sales, new-home sales experienced a few more price concessions, though mostly in the lower-priced sectors. The national median price dropped 2.1 percent, to $224,200, for July. The dearth of inventory should keep future discounting in check. Inventory is a mere 4.6 months at the current sales pace, a 31-percent decline over the 6.7 months in July 2011.

The positive trends in pricing and sales are welcomed news, to be sure. But that doesn't mean everyone is content. Sluggish job growth continues to weigh on the economy, while articles on shadow inventory continue to capture headlines.

We are more sanguine than most on the housing recovery. The Wall Street Journal appears to share our sentiment. A recent WJS article reiterated a number of the more salient points we've been hitting on for the past year: namely that shadow inventory is a well-vetted issue, many of the homes in the inventory will never hit market because they are uninhabitable, many of the homes have been converted to rentals, and many of them have been disposed through orderly short sales.

The most important takeaway is that shadow inventory is well vetted. It's never the known issues that sink a recovery, it's always the unknown issues – those lurking in the shadows. That said, shadow inventory has long ceased to lurk in the shadows, which is why it really is no longer shadow inventory.

Courtesy of Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

 

The Last Hold Out

by Don Roth

One of our frequent laments over the past year has been the lack of diversity in the mortgage lending market. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the FHA back more than 90 percent of all new loans today, up from a third five years ago.

Unfortunately, the level of diversity might not be rising soon. Housingwire.com reports that regulators are pushing for lenders who offer high-risk mortgages to hire certified, licensed appraisers to conduct interior property inspections. (A high-risk mortgage is defined as one secured by a home with an interest rate above a certain threshold.) What's more, if a seller acquires this high-risk property for a lower price within six-months, an additional appraisal must be supplied at no cost to the consumer.

Basically, the regulators' proposal would raise the cost of higher-risk loans, which means there will be fewer of these loans. In turn, higher costs could make lenders even more risk averse, which would further shrink the pool of potential home buyers.

At this point, we think it makes financial and economic sense for lenders to venture further out on the risk scale. We understand the concerns, given the number of loans that went sour a few years ago. But today, there are simply too many potential borrowers relegated to the sidelines because of excessive risk aversion and its accompanying regulatory costs.

Prudent and thoughtful lending doesn't mean eschewing risky lending, it means approaching risky lending with intelligent underwriting procedures.

Courtesy of Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

 

Harrisburg PA Mortgage Market Recap - August 21 2012

by Don Roth

It looks like a new trend is developing in the second half of 2012: upping the home-price outlook. Last week, we mentioned that Zelman & Associates raised its home-price forecast for 2012. This week, it's Bank of America's turn.

At the start of the year, analysts at Bank of America predicted home prices would rise a mere 0.5 percent for 2012. Today, these same analysts believe national home prices will post a 2-percent gain, followed by another 2-percent gain in 2013, which is up from their original estimate for a 0.3-percent gain.

We weren't surprise to see Bank of America raise its price expectations. We also weren't surprised by its rationale. Bank of America cited many of the same variables we've cited over the past year: a shift toward shorts sales among creditors, a decreased flow of foreclosures, a reduction in supply. Increased demand also helps, which when coupled with decreased supply leads to the inevitable – higher prices.

Home builders have also held supply in check. Starts, especially on single-family units, remain at lows that are below those seen during the 1981-1982 recession.

Home builders still have a long way to go before they hit the long-term annual average, but they've been ramping up production over the past year. Housing starts came in at 746,000 annualized units in July, which is down 1.1 percent from June. It's important, though, to keep an eye on the big picture. In that context, starts are up 21.5 percent year-over-year. It appears starts will continue to gain momentum, considering permits rose 6.8 percent to 812,000 annualized units in July.

Increased new-home inventory won't materially change today's low inventory levels. In other words, home prices – new and existing – should continue to gain traction across the country. (Of course, all markets are local and the degree of traction will vary among markets.)

As for the overhang of shadow inventory, the longer it remains in the shadows, the less likely it will be inventory. Houses, we often forget, are depreciating assets if they are insufficiently maintained. Houses can, and do, go away. We actually lose over 300,000 housing units annually through neglect, fire, or natural disasters.

In short, we still see persistent price gains for much of the country.

Speaking of prices, the price of most mortgages rose this past week. This actually marks the third-consecutive week where mortgage lending rates rose. Granted, we are talking about a couple basis points in some instances, but it's still a trend.

An improving economic outlook (which raises loan demand) was the most repeated explanation for rising lending rates. Retail sales are trending higher, and increased sales reflect rising consumer confidence. Increased home-building activity is also bolstering the outlook for the economy.

So where are rates going? The 10-year U.S. Treasury note is a useful proxy for gauging mortgage lending rates, and it's been trending higher over the past month. So we don't expect a pull-back in rates this week. In fact, we wouldn't be surprised to see a fourth-consecutive week of rate increases.

Courtesy of Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

 

Don't Expect Perfection

by Don Roth

The problem with vetting national numbers is that local markets rarely reflect the national numbers. This causes problems, mostly due to false or unrealistic expectations if the local numbers don't gel with the national numbers.

The fact is there is never a perfect time to buy or sell a home. Only in hindsight do we realize that our timing was good, or maybe not so good. That said, it's important not to be paralyzed by the fear of not selling at the top or buying at the bottom or financing at rock-bottom rates.

There are still pundits (most notably Fiserv) who think falling home prices are in our future. Unfortunately, that expectation gets reported at the national level and is interpreted to mean prices in most markets will fall. This isn't the case, but it tends to attenuate activity through fear.

We are keen to emphasize that markets are local. But even in local markets that are rising, there will always be concerns about prices backsliding or the economy tanking. The key is to always factor in where we are in a historical context. Looking at the big picture removes some of the worry and places a long-term investment like residential real estate in the proper perspective. It also increases the likelihood of making a profitable purchase or sale.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

 

Harrisburg PA Mortgage Market Recap - August 15 2012

by Don Roth

The foreclosure data continue to trend positively. RealtyTrac reports foreclosure filings declined 3 percent month-over-month in July and are down 10% year-over—year.

We are not surprised by the downward trend in foreclosures; it's simply more remunerative for banks to seek other alternatives than taking back a house. RealtyTrac reports that short sales, on average, sell for $25,000 more than an REO property.

Banks are no doubt being helped by the persistent uptrend in prices. On that front, CoreLogic reports national prices rose 2.5 percent year-over-year in June, and 6 percent in the second quarter of 2012 compared to the first quarter.

Supply is a main price driver: there simply isn't enough supply to meet growing demand, particularly in the starter and low-price segments. Investor demand is impacting supply. Given the strong rental demand in many markets, investors are buying homes and turning them into rentals instead of flipping them; thus keeping the properties off the market.

As for new-home supply, builders only recently began to ramp up construction. New-home inventory is at levels unseen in decades. (Keep in mind; decades ago there were also fewer people.) More demand and less supply can only lead to one outcome – higher prices.

At the beginning of the year, few pundits were expecting prices to rise in 2012. Today, many have changed their tune. Zelman & Associates, a real estate research firm, for one, recently revised its forecast, predicting prices will rise 5 percent nationally in 2012. At the beginning of the year, Zelman's forecast a 1-percent decline.

Negative equity remains a problem in many markets, and that's also helping to keep supply low. But as prices move higher, more of these properties will turn positive. An even stronger price trend will, in turn, draw more buyers and more sellers into the market. That means more overall transaction activity, which means rising mortgage purchase demand.

As for rates on current mortgage demand, they moved up this past week. Most products saw a three or four basis-point increase. Given the trend in 10-year Treasury yields, we don't expect to see a pullback. Over the past two weeks, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note has increased nearly 30 basis points. This suggests that investors are becoming less risk averse, pulling money out of Treasuries and putting that money into riskier investments: Over the same two-week period, the S&P 500 stock index is up over 6 percent.

Yes, the Federal Reserve has stated that it's determined to hold long-term lending rates low for the next two years, but don't assume the Fed can automatically achieve its goal. Markets are dynamic forces, and if more investors sell bonds in favor of other investments, yields on Treasury securities will continue to rise. That means mortgage lending rates will rise too.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

Harrisburg PA Mortgage Market Recap - August 8 2012

by Don Roth

There was yet more confirmation this past week on what we already know: Home prices are rising. The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index provided the latest positive data set. According to Case-Shiller, home prices pushed ahead a very strong 0.9 percent in May, which follows a 0.7 percent gain in April and a 0.8 percent gain in March. Best of all, the latest gains were widely dispersed, with 18 of the 20 cities Case-Shiller follows posting gains.

We tend to give Case-Shiller short shrift, because the data are two months old. Fresher data are found at Trulia, Zillow, and CoreLogic. But Case-Shiller is widely followed in the media, so this string of positive numbers should help to dispel any lingering concerns over a double-dip home-price recession.

The trend in foreclosures is a key factor in resurgent home prices. CoreLogic reports foreclosures continue to abate. In June, 60,000 foreclosures were completed, a 25 percent drop from the 80,000 foreclosures completed in June 2011. The current monthly rate of foreclosures is at a level unseen since 2007. Fewer foreclosures means less supply. Less supply, in turn, helps elevate home prices.

The number of foreclosures processed could have actually been smaller. CoreLogic CEO Anand Nallathambi addressed an issue we've been addressing off and on for the past year – regulation. In CoreLogic's foreclosure report, Nallathambi said, “[W] believe even more can be done to reduce the inventory of foreclosures by decreasing the level of regulatory uncertainty and expanding alternatives to foreclosure."

Regulation is an issue most of us share a common opinion. There's simply too much of it today. At this point, it's beneficial to encourage more risk taking, albeit rational risk taking. In other words, lenders should have more leeway in assessing borrower risk. The big frustration many of us confront are borrowers who don't fit the template, but who would make a good credit risk nonetheless. A slower housing recovery is the corollary to excluding these potential borrowers from the market.

With that off our chest, we can report that mortgage rates once again touched a new low, but just barely. In fact, rates across most products moved slightly higher as the week progressed. The most repeated explanation for the slight uptick is that investors are somehow less concerned over the ongoing European debt crises, so they've moved some money out of haven U.S. Treasury securities and into other investments.

When the European debt crises – centered on Spain, Greece, Portugal, and, to a lesser extent, Italy – will finally be resolved is anyone's guess. We expect it won't be resolved anytime soon. So when you couple continued fear in the market, which motivates people to invest in safe, low-yield debt, with the Federal Reserve's policy to hold long-term lending rates abnormally low through 2014, you're likely looking at sub-4 percent 30-year lending rates through the first quarter of 2013.

Of course, this can all change should the economy suddenly ignite, but it's difficult to see that occurring until uncertainty surrounding the November elections is removed. In other words, borrowers have time on their side, at least when it comes to accessing money. Problem is, if they are borrowing to buy a home, time isn't on their side. Waiting means they risk paying a higher price. That's something worth repeating to clients.

Courtesy of Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

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